The Top 5 Baccarat strategies｜Money88
1.Avoid tie bets｜ Money88
With all of the above in mind, a friendly piece of advice is to always avoid betting on a tie.
As casino games go, baccarat is one of the safer ones. However, tie bets are extremely risky and they are more likely to empty your wallet than pay off.
Their payout is the biggest, it’s true because they pay 8:1. However, statistically, if you place a tie bet, you are extremely unlikely to win. The house has an edge on this type of vager, a whopping 14.36% if you’re interested. In other words, if you made 100 bets and each time you bet $1, you would statistically lose $14.36, which is the best case scenario. You’re putting a lot of money at the casino just because you overestimate your luck, especially since the whole point of betting is to fill your wallet, not empty it.
It is much better to bet on the dealer at 1:1, which gives the dealer a 1.06% edge. This means that if you bet $1 each time you bet 100 times, you will lose $1. It’s true that if you bet on the banker and win, you have to pay the banker a 5% commission, but if that’s an issue for you, it’s better to try your luck on the player, where the house edge is only slightly higher – 1.24%. This is still low compared to 14.36% of tie bets.
With all that said, use this as your first lesson in baccarat strategy – never bet on a draw when playing baccarat.
2.Bet with the Banker｜ Money88
Next, let’s talk about one of the simplest yet most effective winning strategies in baccarat, which is the house bet. It’s also one of the most recommended strategies that most people familiar with the game and its associated strategies will probably suggest.
It’s safe to say that this is 100% true because it all comes down to basic math. As we mentioned before, betting with the house offers the best odds of winning as it has a theoretical house edge of 1.06%. This means your payout percentage is 98.94%.
So if you make 100 bets, each worth $1, you would theoretically make $98.94 back. Of course, it’s all pure statistics and math, luck is still a major factor as it all comes down to poker. Sometimes you can win 9 out of 10 times, or even 10/10 if you’re extra lucky, but you can still lose more than you win sometimes. Once all is said and done and the cards are dealt, no strategy will affect the cards you may have and your total score.
However, the Return to Player (RTP) of a banker bet is higher than that of a player bet, if only by a little. As we discussed before, a draw is of course the worst option, so again we recommend avoiding it.
However, there is another reason why you should bet with the dealer, and it goes beyond RTP or the house edge. Again, the reason is math.
Suppose the casino uses eight decks of 52 cards. A tie bet would be placed at 8:1, which is quite large but rarely happens. On the other hand, house bets pay out evenly (minus the 5% commission you leave with the house). Of course, there is also a clear 1:1 return on player bets.
Therefore, the math shows that the idle hand has a 44.63% chance of winning, a 45.87% chance of losing, and a 9.51% chance of a draw. Those 45.87% of the time the Player loses are the Bank wins, which means that the Banker bet will win 45.87% of the time, lose 44.63% of the time (this is when the Player wins), and the remaining 9.51% will be a draw again.
Even if we remove the case where the final result is a tie, the probability of the banker winning is 50.68%, while the probability of the player winning is 49.32%. In other words, the dealer has more than a 50% chance of winning each hand. The Player comes next, and your reward for taking the risk is that you keep the 5% commission you have to pay when you pick the Banker. However, even if you pay 5%, you still keep most of your winnings if the banker’s card ends up winning, rather than winning nothing if you pick the player’s card and end up losing.
As you can see, it all boils down to pure numbers, and you can always trust that math doesn’t lie. Again, betting on the player is almost as good – if not better – in terms of the money you’re going to win. However, the bookmaker’s odds are still slightly higher, and you’d be surprised how often this ends up being enough to make a difference.
In the end, it’s your choice, but if you want the safest bets, we recommend going with a bookmaker. Yes, there is a small sacrifice involved, but most of the winnings are still yours, so this is something to consider if you are at a baccarat table.
3.The Paroli System｜ Money88
Continuing on, we have the Paroli system, another well-known strategy that works in reverse of the Martingale system. This also led some to name it the Reverse Martingale. However, it’s an ancient system, dating back to 16th century Italy, so it’s been around for a long time. Some see it as proof that the system works, but we think it’s just as legitimate as any other, and it might work for some people, but certainly not everyone.
Still, if you can apply it, it’s certainly a good strategy for baccarat, roulette, and many other games.
This system is a form of forward betting system, which states that when you win, you should double your bet until you lose. Of course, this starts with the assumption that you will win the next hand. The main goal is to win three games in a row, which can be quite a challenge, but not impossible.
Suppose you again decide to bet on the Player hand. You bet $10 and you win. Next time, you bet $20. If you lose, you get back to $10 again, and if you win, you bet $40, doubling your previous bet. If you lose when you bet $40, you get back $10. If you win, you will get $80. At this point, you’re at the end of a 3-step loop, and no matter what happens next, you’re back at $10 and starting over. That’s pretty much all you do until you get tired of betting and leave the table.
4.The D’Alembert System｜ Money88
In the seventh spot, we have a system created by a French theorist from the 18th century, known as Jean le Rond d’Alembert. Unlike the previous one, this one is a positive progressive system, not unlike the Martingale itself. However, this one was designed to prevent the player from making quick, steep losses, while recouping lost bets at the same time.
You start by selecting your base unit. Usually, this will be the value of one chip/token. Assuming that you will play with $1 chips, then your base unit will be 1. Now, whenever you suffer a loss, you should increase the next wager by 1 chip. So, if you were to start with $5 and lose, then your next wager should be $6. If you lose again, you move on to $7, and so on.
However, when you win, you go one chip down. So, if you started at $5 and reached $8, due to three consecutive losses, and then you win, you would go down to $7. This strategy is based on the assumption that your wins and losses will eventually even out.
5.The Fibonacci Strategy｜ Money88
Our next strategy to improve your chances of winning in baccarat is the Fibonacci strategy. This is a completely different betting system where you use the Fibonacci sequence to decide how much to bet if you lose. This sequence is very famous all over the world, and it boils down to making each number the sum of the two numbers before it.
You start with 1 because the number is before it is zero, 0+1 equals 1 again. After that, you have 2, because the sum of the first two numbers – 1 and the 1 before it – is 2. The next number is 3, and so on. In the end, the sequence looks like this: 1-1-2-3-5-8-13-21-34-55, and so on.
As you can imagine, this system requires you to think quickly, and it involves a bit more math than the Martingale system, where you simply double your past bets every time you lose. But even if you’re not a math professor, you can still apply it in practice.
The strategy goes like this: Every time you lose a hand, you raise your bet according to the Fibonacci sequence. Once you win, the order resets and you start over. The idea is that the deeper you get in the sequence, the more money you’ll bet, and the eventual winner will help you land a huge jackpot.
So if we say you start betting $10 on the player hand – let’s use the player hand for simplicity and don’t have to count the 5% – and you lose, then you will bet again $10. If you lose again, you will get $20. If you lose again, you will get $30. Then $50, then $80, then $130, and so on. In the end, you will win and make more money than make up for your losses. Of course, this requires you to have a substantial bankroll and be prepared for a long period of trial and error.
In practice, however, you’ll likely win more often, and the odds of going deep into a sequence are fairly low, although still possible. And, if you happen to start off a winning streak, just keep betting your $10, one after the other.
